How scoring works

What counts is not how many euros you’re off, but by what factor. Guessing €100,000 for something that costs €1M is just as far off as guessing €1 for something that costs €10.

// deviation in orders of magnitude
error = |log10(guess / actual)|
// 0 to 100 points
points = 100 × max(0, 1 − error / 2)
  • · Every order of magnitude off costs 50 points. From 100× off you get 0 points.
  • · Too high and too low count the same: 2× too high = 2× too low.
  • · Big amounts aren’t judged more strictly than small ones.
  • · Daily Challenge: 5 questions, up to 500 points. Past days are in the archive.
  • · Accuracy = points scored ÷ maximum possible points.
Factor offExample at €1MPoints
exact€1M100
1.3×€800,000 or €1.25M95
1.5×€666,667 or €1.5M91
2×€500,000 or €2M85
3×€333,333 or €3M76
5×€200,000 or €5M65
10×€100,000 or €10M50
30×€33,333 or €30M26
100×€10,000 or €100M0

About the reference values

Prices vary by country, year, spec and negotiation. That’s why every question gives a concrete context, the cost type (e.g. list price, construction cost, operating cost), a reference year and a source. Foreign currencies are converted at the annual average rate. The values are rounded orders of magnitude – which is exactly what the logarithmic scoring is made for.

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